Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Arsenal W welcome Birmingham City W to Meadow Park for a FA WSL fixture on Saturday 17 October (12:45 WAT). In the table, Arsenal W are 6th, upper half, on 13 points after 9 matches; Birmingham City W are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Arsenal W, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Manchester City W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Birmingham City W, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Everton W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Arsenal W, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Birmingham City W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal W 2.3 xG, Birmingham City W 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal W 79%, draw 13%, Birmingham City W 8%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 2.00). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal W 2–1 Birmingham City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal W79%fair 1.27 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.73 · @10.00
Birmingham City W8%fair 12.15 · @19.00
2.90Expected goals
2.35Arsenal W xG
0.55Birmingham City W xG
50%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–013%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%
From our goals model: Arsenal W 2.3 – 0.6 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal W to win✗
79%
1.27
1.07
Double chance
Arsenal W or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.00
Draw no bet
Arsenal W (draw no bet)
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Arsenal W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Arsenal W to score first
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Arsenal W ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal W / FT Arsenal W✗
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Arsenal W – last 6
LDLWDD
4 Oct
@ Manchester City W
2–4
L
30 Sep
@ Paris FC W
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–1
L
22 Sep
vs Køge W
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Manchester United W
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Birmingham City W – last 6
LLDLLD
4 Oct
@ Everton W
1–2
L
30 Sep
vs Liverpool W
3–4
L
27 Sep
vs Crystal Palace W
3–3
D
23 Sep
@ Everton W
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Chelsea W
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Brighton W
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal W and Birmingham City W.
What is the prediction for Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
On our numbers Arsenal W have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Birmingham City W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Our predicted score is Arsenal W 2–1 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W?
Arsenal W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:45 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
