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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chelsea W v Manchester City W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · Stamford Bridge
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Chelsea W 55%Draw 22%Manchester City W 24% Expected goals 2.13 – 1.45
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultChelsea W to win55% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score68% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals65% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.92

Chelsea W vs Manchester City W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 14 November: Chelsea W v Manchester City W in the FA WSL, played at Stamford Bridge. In the table, Chelsea W are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 9 matches; Manchester City W are 1st (leading the league) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chelsea W, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Häcken W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Manchester City W, last 5: WWWDD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Inter Milano W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chelsea W 2.1 xG, Manchester City W 1.5 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 68%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chelsea W 55%, draw 22%, Manchester City W 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.50.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chelsea W 2–1 Manchester City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chelsea W55%fair 1.82 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.75
Manchester City W24%fair 4.25 · @4.20
3.58Expected goals
2.13Chelsea W xG
1.45Manchester City W xG
68%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–27%
3–17%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Chelsea W 2.1 – 1.5 Manchester City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Chelsea WManchester City W
Attack vs FA WSL average+59%+53%
Goals conceded vs average-35%-22%
Our expected goals here2.101.58

Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelsea W to win55%1.821.62
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score68%1.471.50
Draw no betChelsea W (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapManchester City W +1.5 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals65%1.531.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals55%1.801.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.361.20
First team to scoreChelsea W to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultChelsea W ahead at half-time41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelsea W / FT Chelsea W34%2.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.92–

Recent results

Chelsea W – last 6

DDWWWW
10 Nov@ Häcken W0–0D
7 Novvs Everton W1–1D
1 Nov@ Charlton Athletic W6–0W
28 Octvs Roma W2–0W
25 Oct@ Crystal Palace W3–1W
18 Octvs Tottenham Hotspur W6–2W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Manchester City W – last 6

WWWDDW
10 Nov@ Inter Milano W4–1W
7 Novvs West Ham W5–0W
1 Nov@ London City Lionesses W2–1W
29 Octvs Paris Saint Germain W1–1D
25 Oct@ Manchester United W1–1D
18 Octvs Brighton W3–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chelsea W and Manchester City W.

Chelsea W vs Manchester City W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

On our numbers Chelsea W have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Manchester City W 24%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

Our predicted score is Chelsea W 2–1 Manchester City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Chelsea W vs Manchester City W?

Chelsea W vs Manchester City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.