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Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W: numbers & prediction

FA WSL · England · Bescot Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Aston Villa W 44%Draw 24%Birmingham City W 32% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.42
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultAston Villa W to win44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.02

Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:30 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W in the FA WSL, played at Bescot Stadium. In the table, Aston Villa W are 9th, lower half, on 10 points after 9 matches; Birmingham City W are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6.

Current form

Aston Villa W, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Manchester United W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Birmingham City W, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to London City Lionesses W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Aston Villa W, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Birmingham City W.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Oct 2026) it ended Aston Villa W 1–1 Birmingham City W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa W 1.7 xG, Birmingham City W 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa W 44%, draw 24%, Birmingham City W 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Betarazi verdict

The Betarazi pick is Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa W 1–1 Birmingham City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aston Villa W44%fair 2.29 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Birmingham City W32%fair 3.08 · @2.70
3.14Expected goals
1.72Aston Villa W xG
1.42Birmingham City W xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Aston Villa W 1.7 – 1.4 Birmingham City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Aston Villa WBirmingham City W
Attack vs FA WSL average-15%-17%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+20%
Our expected goals here1.711.38

Our own ratings from every FA WSL result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAston Villa W to win44%2.292.15
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score67%1.501.44
Draw no betAston Villa W (draw no bet)57%1.74–
Asian handicapBirmingham City W +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.231.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.651.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals61%1.651.51
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.281.18
First team to scoreAston Villa W to score first52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aston Villa W / FT Aston Villa W27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.02–

Recent results

Aston Villa W – last 6

LDDWWW
7 Novvs Manchester United W0–1L
1 Nov@ Arsenal W1–1D
28 Octvs Birmingham City W1–1D
25 Oct@ Everton W3–2W
21 Oct@ Burnley W2–0W
18 Octvs Liverpool W2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Birmingham City W – last 6

LLDWWD
7 Nov@ London City Lionesses W1–4L
1 Novvs Tottenham Hotspur W1–4L
28 Oct@ Aston Villa W1–1D
25 Octvs Charlton Athletic W1–0W
21 Oct@ Durham W5–0W
17 Oct@ Arsenal W1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Oct 2026Aston Villa W v Birmingham City W1–1
Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W head-to-head page →

FA WSL table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W9810+1725
2Chelsea W9720+2323
3London City Lionesses W9612+1319
4Tottenham Hotspur W9513+716
5Manchester United W9432-115
6Arsenal W9342013
7Brighton W9324+311
8Everton W9324-211
9Aston Villa W9243-610
10Crystal Palace W9234-99
11West Ham W9306-109
12Liverpool W9225-28
13Birmingham City W9135-106
14Charlton Athletic W9009-230

More FA WSL predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

On our numbers Aston Villa W have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Birmingham City W 32%.

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Our predicted score is Aston Villa W 1–1 Birmingham City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W?

Aston Villa W vs Birmingham City W (FA WSL) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Bescot Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.