Value bet: Treviso to win @ 2.90 – our chance 41% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTreviso to win ✓41% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.41
Renate vs Treviso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Renate welcome Treviso to Mino Favini for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Sunday 27 September (16:30 WAT). In the table, Renate are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Treviso are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Renate, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arzignano Valchiampo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Treviso, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Desenzano Calvina, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Treviso, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Renate.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Renate 1.1 xG, Treviso 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Renate 35%, draw 25%, Treviso 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Treviso to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Renate 1–1 Treviso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Renate35%fair 2.87 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Treviso41%fair 2.46 · @2.90
2.33Expected goals
1.11Renate xG
1.22Treviso xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Renate 1.1 – 1.2 Treviso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Treviso to win✓
41%
2.46
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.73
Draw no bet
Treviso (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Renate +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Treviso to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Treviso / FT Treviso✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
Renate – last 6
LDDLLL
20 Sep
@ Arzignano Valchiampo
1–2
L
17 Sep
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Lumezzane
2–2
D
7 Sep
vs Novara
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Cittadella
1–4
L
31 Aug
vs Cittadella
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Treviso – last 6
DDWDWL
21 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
17 Sep
@ Union Brescia
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs PRO Vercelli
2–1
W
7 Sep
@ Alcione
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Lecco
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Trento
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Renate and Treviso.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Renate vs Treviso?
On our numbers Renate have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Treviso 41%.
How many goals will there be in Renate vs Treviso?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Renate vs Treviso?
Our predicted score is Renate 1–1 Treviso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Renate vs Treviso?
Renate vs Treviso (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Mino Favini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
