Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Lumezzane to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLumezzane to win ✗39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Carpi welcome Lumezzane to Stadio Sandro Cabassi for a Serie C Girone A fixture on Saturday 17 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Athletic Carpi are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Lumezzane are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Athletic Carpi, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pergolettese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Lumezzane, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventus U23, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lumezzane, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Athletic Carpi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Carpi 1.4 xG, Lumezzane 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Carpi 38%, draw 23%, Lumezzane 39%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Lumezzane to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Carpi 1–1 Lumezzane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Carpi38%fair 2.61 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Lumezzane39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.83Expected goals
1.41Athletic Carpi xG
1.42Lumezzane xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–28%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Athletic Carpi 1.4 – 1.4 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lumezzane to win✗
39%
2.56
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Lumezzane (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Carpi +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Lumezzane to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lumezzane / FT Lumezzane✗
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Athletic Carpi – last 6
LLLDDL
10 Oct
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
3 Oct
@ PRO Vercelli
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
0–3
L
20 Sep
@ Novara
2–2
D
17 Sep
vs Ospitaletto
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Cittadella
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lumezzane – last 6
DWLWDD
13 Oct
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Albinoleffe
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
1–2
L
21 Sep
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Sep
vs Novara
0–0
D
13 Sep
vs Renate
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Carpi and Lumezzane.
What is the prediction for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?
On our numbers Athletic Carpi have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lumezzane 39%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?
Our predicted score is Athletic Carpi 1–1 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane?
Athletic Carpi vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Sandro Cabassi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
