Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cittadella to win @ 1.91 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCittadella to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceCittadella or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.87
Cittadella vs Treviso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Treviso travel to face Cittadella on Sunday 1 November in the Serie C Girone A, with Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cittadella are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 13 matches; Treviso are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Cittadella, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Union Brescia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Treviso, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dolomiti Bellunesi, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella 1.5 xG, Treviso 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella 62%, draw 23%, Treviso 15%.
Lower-risk option: Cittadella or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Cittadella to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Cittadella or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella 1–0 Treviso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella62%fair 1.61 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @2.90
Treviso15%fair 6.49 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.46Cittadella xG
0.54Treviso xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–015%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Cittadella 1.5 – 0.5 Treviso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella to win✓
62%
1.61
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cittadella or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.91
Draw no bet
Cittadella (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Cittadella -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cittadella to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella / FT Cittadella✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.87
–
Recent results
Cittadella – last 6
WLWWLW
28 Oct
@ Union Brescia
2–1
W
24 Oct
@ Union Brescia
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Novara
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Albinoleffe
1–2
L
26 Sep
vs Lecco
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Treviso – last 6
WWLDWD
24 Oct
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Folgore Caratese
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Ospitaletto
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Giana Erminio
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ Renate
1–0
W
21 Sep
vs Desenzano Calvina
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella and Treviso.
Our pick is Cittadella or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cittadella vs Treviso?
On our numbers Cittadella have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Treviso 15%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella vs Treviso?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella vs Treviso?
Our predicted score is Cittadella 1–0 Treviso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cittadella vs Treviso?
Cittadella vs Treviso (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
