Value bet: Alcione to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcione to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Alcione vs Lumezzane: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the Serie C Girone A brings Alcione against Lumezzane at Stadio Ferruccio. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Alcione are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Lumezzane are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Alcione, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Giana Erminio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Lumezzane, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arzignano Valchiampo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alcione, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Lumezzane.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alcione 1.8 xG, Lumezzane 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alcione 56%, draw 18%, Lumezzane 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Alcione to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alcione 1–1 Lumezzane. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alcione56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @3.30
Lumezzane26%fair 3.84 · @3.25
2.83Expected goals
1.76Alcione xG
1.07Lumezzane xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Alcione 1.8 – 1.1 Lumezzane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcione to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Alcione (draw no bet)✗
68%
1.46
–
Asian handicap
Lumezzane +1 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.14
First team to score
Alcione to score first✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcione / FT Alcione✗
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Alcione – last 6
WLWDDD
31 Oct
@ Giana Erminio
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Athletic Carpi
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Desenzano Calvina
4–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lecco
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Trento
2–2
D
27 Sep
@ Albinoleffe
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lumezzane – last 6
DLLDWL
1 Nov
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Pergolettese
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Athletic Carpi
1–3
L
13 Oct
@ Juventus U23
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs Albinoleffe
3–2
W
26 Sep
vs Folgore Caratese
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alcione and Lumezzane.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alcione vs Lumezzane?
On our numbers Alcione have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lumezzane 26%.
How many goals will there be in Alcione vs Lumezzane?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alcione vs Lumezzane?
Our predicted score is Alcione 1–1 Lumezzane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alcione vs Lumezzane?
Alcione vs Lumezzane (Serie C Girone A) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ferruccio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
