Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 53% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +59%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✓53% · @3.00
Double chancePianese or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48
Pianese vs Vado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vado travel to face Pianese on Friday 28 August in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Comunale the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Pianese are 16th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Vado are 13th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pianese, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Campobasso FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Vado, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atalanta II, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Vado, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Pianese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pianese 1.2 xG, Vado 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pianese 28%, draw 53%, Vado 19%.
Lower-risk option: Pianese or draw (81%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pianese or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pianese 1–0 Vado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pianese28%fair 3.54 · @2.15
Draw53%fair 1.88 · @3.00
Vado19%fair 5.39 · @3.25
2.14Expected goals
1.16Pianese xG
0.97Vado xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Pianese 1.2 – 1.0 Vado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
53%
1.88
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Pianese or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Draw no bet
Pianese (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Vado +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Pianese to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pianese / FT Pianese✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.48
–
Recent results
Pianese – last 6
LLDWWL
23 Aug
@ Campobasso FC
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ Athletic Carpi
2–3
L
13 May
@ Lecco
1–1
D
6 May
@ Juventus U23
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Ternana
3–1
W
4 Apr
vs Campobasso FC
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Vado – last 6
WDLWLW
21 Aug
vs Atalanta II
2–0
W
14 Aug
vs Inter U23
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Scafatese
0–6
L
30 May
vs Barletta
2–0
W
24 May
@ Barletta
1–2
L
17 May
vs Folgore Caratese
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pianese and Vado.
Our pick is Pianese or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pianese vs Vado?
On our numbers Pianese have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 53% and Vado 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pianese vs Vado?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pianese vs Vado?
Our predicted score is Pianese 1–0 Vado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Pianese vs Vado?
Pianese vs Vado (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
