Value bet: Reggiana to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultReggiana to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62
Perugia vs Reggiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Perugia v Reggiana in the Serie C Girone B, played at Stadio Renato Curi. In the table, Perugia are 12th, lower half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Reggiana are 6th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Perugia, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Grosseto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Reggiana, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Latina, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Reggiana, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Perugia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Perugia 1.1 xG, Reggiana 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Perugia 28%, draw 24%, Reggiana 48%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Reggiana to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perugia 1–1 Reggiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Perugia28%fair 3.63 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @2.90
Reggiana48%fair 2.07 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.15Perugia xG
1.60Reggiana xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Perugia 1.1 – 1.6 Reggiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Reggiana to win✗
48%
2.07
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Draw no bet
Reggiana (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Perugia +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Reggiana to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Reggiana / FT Reggiana✗
29%
3.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.62
–
Recent results
Perugia – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Sep
@ Grosseto
0–2
L
16 Sep
vs Spezia
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Ravenna
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Pineto
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Vis Pesaro
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Ostia Mare
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Reggiana – last 6
WWDWWD
20 Sep
vs Latina
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Vis Pesaro
4–1
W
12 Sep
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vado
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Gubbio
2–1
W
24 Aug
vs Ravenna
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Perugia and Reggiana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Perugia vs Reggiana?
On our numbers Perugia have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Reggiana 48%.
How many goals will there be in Perugia vs Reggiana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Perugia vs Reggiana?
Our predicted score is Perugia 1–1 Reggiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Perugia vs Reggiana?
Perugia vs Reggiana (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
