Latina 60%Draw 22%Ostia Mare 18%Expected goals 1.60 – 0.71
82%
Betarazi pick
Latina or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLatina to win ✗60% · @1.73
Double chanceLatina or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Latina vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ostia Mare travel to face Latina on Sunday 4 October in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Domenico Francioni the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Latina are 15th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Ostia Mare are 18th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Latina, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Reggiana, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Ostia Mare, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forli, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (16 Aug 2026) it ended Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Latina 1.6 xG, Ostia Mare 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Latina 60%, draw 22%, Ostia Mare 18%.
Lower-risk option: Latina or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Latina or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latina 1–0 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Latina60%fair 1.66 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Ostia Mare18%fair 5.67 · @4.00
2.31Expected goals
1.60Latina xG
0.71Ostia Mare xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Latina 1.6 – 0.7 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Latina or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Latina vs Ostia Mare?
On our numbers Latina have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ostia Mare 18%.
How many goals will there be in Latina vs Ostia Mare?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Latina vs Ostia Mare?
Our predicted score is Latina 1–0 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Latina vs Ostia Mare?
Latina vs Ostia Mare (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
