Gubbio 33%Draw 24%Atalanta II 43%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.54
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Atalanta II to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAtalanta II to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Gubbio vs Atalanta II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gubbio welcome Atalanta II to Stadio Pietro Barbetti for a Serie C Girone B fixture on Sunday 18 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Gubbio are 19th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Atalanta II are 10th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Gubbio, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Spezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Atalanta II, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Latina, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gubbio 1.3 xG, Atalanta II 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gubbio 33%, draw 24%, Atalanta II 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Atalanta II to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gubbio 1–1 Atalanta II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gubbio33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.80
Atalanta II43%fair 2.35 · @2.50
2.88Expected goals
1.34Gubbio xG
1.54Atalanta II xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gubbio 1.3 – 1.5 Atalanta II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atalanta II to win✓
43%
2.35
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.75
Draw no bet
Atalanta II (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Gubbio +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
First team to score
Atalanta II to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atalanta II / FT Atalanta II✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Gubbio – last 6
LLLLDW
10 Oct
@ Spezia
0–2
L
3 Oct
vs Perugia
1–3
L
27 Sep
@ Ravenna
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ostia Mare
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Pescara
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Latina
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atalanta II – last 6
LLLWWL
14 Oct
@ Latina
0–2
L
11 Oct
@ Torres
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Ravenna
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sambenedettese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs Pescara
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Livorno
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gubbio and Atalanta II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
On our numbers Gubbio have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atalanta II 43%.
How many goals will there be in Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
Our predicted score is Gubbio 1–1 Atalanta II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gubbio vs Atalanta II?
Gubbio vs Atalanta II (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
