Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Grosseto to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLivorno to win ✗43% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Livorno vs Grosseto: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 16 October the Serie C Girone B brings Livorno against Grosseto at Stadio Armando Picchi. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Livorno are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Grosseto are 3rd (among the top four) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Livorno, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forli, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Grosseto, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Vis Pesaro, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Grosseto, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Livorno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Livorno 1.4 xG, Grosseto 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Livorno 43%, draw 23%, Grosseto 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Grosseto to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Livorno 1–1 Grosseto. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Livorno43%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Grosseto33%fair 2.99 · @3.30
2.61Expected goals
1.41Livorno xG
1.20Grosseto xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–27%
0–07%
From our goals model: Livorno 1.4 – 1.2 Grosseto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Livorno to win✗
43%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Draw no bet
Livorno (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Grosseto +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Livorno to score first
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Livorno / FT Livorno✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.39
–
Recent results
Livorno – last 6
DLWDWL
11 Oct
@ Forli
1–1
D
3 Oct
vs Pescara
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Pianese
3–2
W
21 Sep
@ Guidonia Montecelio 1937
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Vado
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Spezia
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Grosseto – last 6
WLWWDD
10 Oct
@ Vis Pesaro
3–2
W
3 Oct
vs Sambenedettese
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ Pineto
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs Perugia
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Campobasso FC
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Pianese
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livorno and Grosseto.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Livorno vs Grosseto?
On our numbers Livorno have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Grosseto 33%.
How many goals will there be in Livorno vs Grosseto?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livorno vs Grosseto?
Our predicted score is Livorno 1–1 Grosseto, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Livorno vs Grosseto?
Livorno vs Grosseto (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Armando Picchi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
