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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pianese v Perugia: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone B · Italy · Stadio Comunale

Pianese

DDDDW
3–2
FT

Perugia

DLWLW
Pianese 39%Draw 23%Perugia 38% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.16
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultPianese to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.79

Pianese vs Perugia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Perugia travel to face Pianese on Sunday 8 November in the Serie C Girone B, with Stadio Comunale the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Pianese are 16th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Perugia are 12th (lower half) with 17.

Current form

Pianese, last 5: DDDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Latina, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Perugia, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Guidonia Montecelio 1937, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Perugia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Pianese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pianese 1.2 xG, Perugia 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pianese 39%, draw 23%, Perugia 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pianese 1–1 Perugia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pianese39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Perugia38%fair 2.65 · @2.40
2.34Expected goals
1.19Pianese xG
1.16Perugia xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Pianese 1.2 – 1.2 Perugia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPianese to win ✓39%2.552.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓50%1.991.83
Draw no betPianese (draw no bet) ✓51%1.96–
Asian handicapPerugia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.131.08
First team to scorePianese to score first ✓46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pianese / FT Pianese ✓21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.79–

Recent results

Pianese – last 6

DDDDWL
1 Nov@ Latina1–1D
25 Oct@ Forli0–0D
17 Octvs Pineto0–0D
10 Oct@ Ostia Mare0–0D
4 Octvs Ravenna2–1W
26 Sep@ Livorno2–3L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Perugia – last 6

DLWLWW
31 Oct@ Guidonia Montecelio 19371–1D
23 Octvs Pescara1–2L
18 Oct@ Campobasso FC5–1W
11 Octvs Vado0–2L
3 Oct@ Gubbio3–1W
27 Sepvs Reggiana1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pianese and Perugia.

Pianese vs Perugia head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spezia131120+1935
2Ravenna13922+1729
3Grosseto13652+823
4Pescara13643+422
5Torres13643+322
6Reggiana13625+420
7Guidonia Montecelio 193713553+320
8Livorno13553+120
9Campobasso FC13544-219
10Atalanta II13607-318
11Pineto13454-217
12Perugia13526-317
13Vado13445-116
14Forli13364-115
15Latina13364-215
16Pianese13274-313
17Sambenedettese13247-510
18Ostia Mare13238-99
19Gubbio13229-128
20Vis Pesaro131210-165

More Serie C Girone B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pianese vs Perugia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Pianese vs Perugia?

On our numbers Pianese have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Perugia 38%.

How many goals will there be in Pianese vs Perugia?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pianese vs Perugia?

Our predicted score is Pianese 1–1 Perugia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Pianese vs Perugia?

Pianese vs Perugia (Serie C Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.