Value bet: Casarano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPotenza to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Potenza vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Serie C Girone C brings Potenza against Casarano at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Potenza are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Casarano are 17th (lower half) with 15. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Potenza, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ascoli, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Casarano, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bari, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Casarano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Potenza.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Casarano 2–1 Potenza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Potenza 1.3 xG, Casarano 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Potenza 45%, draw 23%, Casarano 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Casarano to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Potenza 1–1 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Potenza45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.20
Casarano32%fair 3.10 · @3.30
2.42Expected goals
1.34Potenza xG
1.08Casarano xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Potenza 1.3 – 1.1 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Potenza vs Casarano?
On our numbers Potenza have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Casarano 32%.
How many goals will there be in Potenza vs Casarano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Potenza vs Casarano?
Our predicted score is Potenza 1–1 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Potenza vs Casarano?
Potenza vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
