Value bet: Sorrento to win @ 3.25 – our chance 39% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSorrento to win ✗39% · @3.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.48
Foggia vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sorrento travel to face Foggia on Sunday 27 September in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Pino Zaccheria the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Foggia are 16th, lower half, on 15 points after 13 matches; Sorrento are 9th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Foggia, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Inter U23, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sorrento, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bari, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sorrento, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Foggia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Foggia 1.1 xG, Sorrento 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Foggia 37%, draw 25%, Sorrento 39%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Sorrento to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Foggia 1–1 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Foggia37%fair 2.73 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Sorrento39%fair 2.59 · @3.25
2.17Expected goals
1.07Foggia xG
1.10Sorrento xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Foggia 1.1 – 1.1 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sorrento to win✗
39%
2.59
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.85
Draw no bet
Sorrento (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Foggia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sorrento to score first✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sorrento / FT Sorrento✗
20%
4.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.48
–
Recent results
Foggia – last 6
LDLLDW
20 Sep
@ Inter U23
2–3
L
15 Sep
vs Savoia
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ SS Monopoli
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Audace Cerignola
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Salernitana
1–1
D
24 Aug
@ Crotone
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
LWWWWW
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Cavese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–0
W
2 Sep
vs Cosenza
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Crotone
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Foggia and Sorrento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Foggia vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Foggia have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sorrento 39%.
How many goals will there be in Foggia vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Foggia vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Foggia 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Foggia vs Sorrento?
Foggia vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pino Zaccheria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
