AZ Picerno 60%Draw 25%Cosenza 15%Expected goals 2.26 – 1.12
85%
Betarazi pick
AZ Picerno or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: AZ Picerno to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAZ Picerno to win ✗60% · @1.95
Double chanceAZ Picerno or draw ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
AZ Picerno vs Cosenza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Monday 12 October: AZ Picerno v Cosenza in the Serie C Girone C, played at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio. In the table, AZ Picerno are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Cosenza are 19th (in the drop zone) with 10.
Current form
AZ Picerno, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Potenza, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Cosenza, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Foggia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours AZ Picerno, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Cosenza.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended AZ Picerno 3–1 Cosenza.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Picerno 2.3 xG, Cosenza 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Picerno 60%, draw 25%, Cosenza 15%.
Lower-risk option: AZ Picerno or draw (85%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: AZ Picerno to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AZ Picerno or draw (85%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Picerno 2–1 Cosenza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Picerno60%fair 1.67 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.10
Cosenza15%fair 6.66 · @3.40
3.38Expected goals
2.26AZ Picerno xG
1.12Cosenza xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: AZ Picerno 2.3 – 1.1 Cosenza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AZ Picerno or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cosenza 15%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 2–1 Cosenza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is AZ Picerno vs Cosenza?
AZ Picerno vs Cosenza (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
