Scafatese vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Scafatese welcome Sorrento to Stadio Raffaele Guariglia for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Sunday 11 October (13:30 WAT). In the table, Scafatese are 4th, among the top four, on 21 points after 13 matches; Sorrento are 9th (upper half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Scafatese, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Team Altamura, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Sorrento, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Casarano, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Scafatese 1.3 xG, Sorrento 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Scafatese 40%, draw 25%, Sorrento 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Scafatese 1–1 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Scafatese40%fair 2.51 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @2.80
Sorrento36%fair 2.81 · @2.90
2.53Expected goals
1.31Scafatese xG
1.22Sorrento xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Scafatese 1.3 – 1.2 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Scafatese to win✓
40%
2.51
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Draw no bet
Scafatese (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Sorrento +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Scafatese to score first✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Scafatese / FT Scafatese✓
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Scafatese – last 6
WDDWDD
27 Sep
vs Team Altamura
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Cosenza
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs SS Monopoli
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Catania
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Casertana
2–2
D
1 Sep
@ Campobasso FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sorrento – last 6
WLLWWW
3 Oct
vs Casarano
2–0
W
27 Sep
@ Foggia
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Bari
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Cavese
3–2
W
12 Sep
vs AZ Picerno
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Giugliano
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scafatese and Sorrento.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Scafatese vs Sorrento?
On our numbers Scafatese have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sorrento 36%.
How many goals will there be in Scafatese vs Sorrento?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Scafatese vs Sorrento?
Our predicted score is Scafatese 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Scafatese vs Sorrento?
Scafatese vs Sorrento (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Raffaele Guariglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
