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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Casertana v Casarano: numbers & prediction

Serie C Girone C · Italy · Stadio Alberto Pinto
1–0
FT
Casertana 60%Draw 21%Casarano 20% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.92
80%
Betarazi pick

Casertana or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Casertana to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCasertana to win ✓60% · @1.91
Double chanceCasertana or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Casertana vs Casarano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Casarano travel to face Casertana on Saturday 7 November in the Serie C Girone C, with Stadio Alberto Pinto the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Casertana are 8th, upper half, on 20 points after 13 matches; Casarano are 17th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Casertana, last 5: LDDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Giugliano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Casarano, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Foggia, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Casertana 1.8 xG, Casarano 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Casertana 60%, draw 21%, Casarano 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Casertana or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Casertana to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Casertana or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Casertana 1–0 Casarano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Casertana60%fair 1.68 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @3.30
Casarano20%fair 5.05 · @3.50
2.74Expected goals
1.82Casertana xG
0.92Casarano xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Casertana 1.8 – 0.9 Casarano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCasertana to win ✓60%1.681.91 ▲
Double chanceCasertana or draw ✓80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.67
Draw no betCasertana (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapCasarano +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.941.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.201.14
First team to scoreCasertana to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultCasertana ahead at half-time ✓42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Casertana / FT Casertana ✓37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Recent results

Casertana – last 6

LDDWLL
31 Oct@ Giugliano0–1L
23 Octvs Bari1–1D
18 Oct@ Sorrento0–0D
10 Octvs SS Monopoli3–1W
3 Oct@ Cavese0–2L
27 Sepvs Catania1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Casarano – last 6

DWLDLL
2 Novvs Foggia2–2D
26 Oct@ Crotone1–0W
18 Oct@ Cavese2–5L
11 Octvs Salernitana0–0D
3 Oct@ Sorrento0–2L
27 Sepvs SS Monopoli0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Casertana and Casarano.

Casertana vs Casarano head-to-head page →

Serie C Girone C table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Potenza131021+1732
2Bari13652+723
3Catania13715+1322
4Scafatese13562+521
5Audace Cerignola13625+520
6SS Monopoli13553+420
7Inter U2313625+220
8Casertana13553+220
9Sorrento13625+120
10AZ Picerno13616+319
11Cavese13445+116
12Team Altamura13445-616
13Giugliano13517-1216
14Salernitana13364-215
15Barletta13364-215
16Foggia13436-315
17Casarano13436-615
18Savoia13265-712
19Cosenza13247-1310
20Crotone13148-91

More Serie C Girone C predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Casertana vs Casarano?

Our pick is Casertana or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Casertana vs Casarano?

On our numbers Casertana have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Casarano 20%.

How many goals will there be in Casertana vs Casarano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Casertana vs Casarano?

Our predicted score is Casertana 1–0 Casarano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Casertana vs Casarano?

Casertana vs Casarano (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Pinto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.