Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBari to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
AZ Picerno vs Bari: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Picerno welcome Bari to Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio for a Serie C Girone C fixture on Monday 9 November (20:45 WAT). In the table, AZ Picerno are 10th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Bari are 2nd (among the top four) with 23.
Current form
AZ Picerno, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Cavese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Bari, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Scafatese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours AZ Picerno, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Bari.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Bari 1–1 AZ Picerno.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Picerno 1.1 xG, Bari 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Picerno 30%, draw 24%, Bari 46%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Picerno 1–1 Bari. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Picerno30%fair 3.34 · @3.40
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @2.90
Bari46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
2.51Expected goals
1.09AZ Picerno xG
1.43Bari xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: AZ Picerno 1.1 – 1.4 Bari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AZ Picerno vs Bari?
On our numbers AZ Picerno have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bari 46%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Picerno vs Bari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Picerno vs Bari?
Our predicted score is AZ Picerno 1–1 Bari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AZ Picerno vs Bari?
AZ Picerno vs Bari (Serie C Girone C) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Comunale Donato Curcio.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
