Burnley W 19%Draw 15%Bristol City W 66%Expected goals 0.97 – 2.10
66%
Betarazi pick
Bristol City W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultBristol City W to win ✗66% · @1.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗7% · fair 13.91
Burnley W vs Bristol City W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Saturday 26 September: Burnley W v Bristol City W in the Women's Championship, played at Lancashire County Ground. In the table, Burnley W are 11th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 7 matches; Bristol City W are 5th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Burnley W, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Wolverhampton W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Bristol City W, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Watford W, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Bristol City W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Burnley W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burnley W 1.0 xG, Bristol City W 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 49% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burnley W 19%, draw 15%, Bristol City W 66%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bristol City W to win (66%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burnley W 0–2 Bristol City W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burnley W19%fair 5.29 · @4.00
Draw15%fair 6.61 · @4.20
Bristol City W66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
3.07Expected goals
0.97Burnley W xG
2.10Bristol City W xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Burnley W 1.0 – 2.1 Bristol City W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City W to win✗
66%
1.52
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Bristol City W (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Bristol City W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Bristol City W to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Bristol City W ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City W / FT Bristol City W✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
7%
13.91
–
Recent results
Burnley W – last 3
LLD
18 Sep
@ Wolverhampton W
0–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sunderland W
1–2
L
4 Sep
@ Watford W
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bristol City W – last 6
WLLWDL
20 Sep
@ Watford W
5–1
W
12 Sep
vs Newcastle United W
0–1
L
6 Sep
@ Sunderland W
1–4
L
26 Apr
vs Newcastle United W
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Durham W
2–2
D
29 Mar
vs Birmingham City W
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burnley W and Bristol City W.
What is the prediction for Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Our pick is Bristol City W to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
On our numbers Burnley W have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bristol City W 66%.
How many goals will there be in Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Our predicted score is Burnley W 0–2 Bristol City W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Burnley W vs Bristol City W?
Burnley W vs Bristol City W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancashire County Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
