Newcastle United W 76%Draw 16%Burnley W 8%Expected goals 2.52 – 0.72
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultNewcastle United W to win ✓76% · @1.11
Double chanceNewcastle United W or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Newcastle United W vs Burnley W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Newcastle United W welcome Burnley W to Gateshead International Stadium for a Women's Championship fixture on Sunday 8 November (15:00 WAT). In the table, Newcastle United W are 1st, leading the league, on 19 points after 7 matches; Burnley W are 11th (in the drop zone) with 2. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newcastle United W, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Durham W, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Burnley W, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Nottingham Forest W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Newcastle United W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Burnley W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle United W 2.5 xG, Burnley W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle United W 76%, draw 16%, Burnley W 8%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle United W 3–0 Burnley W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle United W76%fair 1.31 · @1.11
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @7.10
Burnley W8%fair 12.26 · @12.50
3.24Expected goals
2.52Newcastle United W xG
0.72Burnley W xG
57%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
3–010%
1–010%
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Newcastle United W 2.5 – 0.7 Burnley W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newcastle United W to win✓
76%
1.31
1.11
Double chance
Newcastle United W or draw✓
92%
1.09
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.80
Draw no bet
Newcastle United W (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle United W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.87
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.34
First team to score
Newcastle United W to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Newcastle United W ahead at half-time✓
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newcastle United W / FT Newcastle United W✓
53%
1.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
Newcastle United W – last 6
WDLLWL
1 Nov
@ Durham W
5–1
W
25 Oct
@ Nottingham Forest W
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Everton W
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Sunderland W
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Durham W
3–0
W
30 Sep
@ Aston Villa W
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Burnley W – last 6
LLLLWL
1 Nov
@ Nottingham Forest W
0–4
L
28 Oct
@ Manchester United W
0–3
L
25 Oct
vs Sheffield United W
3–4
L
21 Oct
vs Aston Villa W
0–2
L
18 Oct
vs Durham W
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Nottingham Forest W
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle United W and Burnley W.
What is the prediction for Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
On our numbers Newcastle United W have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Burnley W 8%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
Our predicted score is Newcastle United W 3–0 Burnley W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Newcastle United W vs Burnley W?
Newcastle United W vs Burnley W (Women's Championship) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
