Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Doxa to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDoxa to win ✗59% · @1.90
Double chanceDoxa or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.04
APEA vs Doxa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Doxa travel to face APEA on Saturday 12 September in the 2. Division – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, APEA are 5th, upper half, on 11 points after 7 matches; Doxa are 2nd (among the top four) with 17.
Current form
APEA, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Iraklis Yerolakkou, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Doxa, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Omonia 29is Maiou, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours APEA, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Doxa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give APEA 0.8 xG, Doxa 1.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – APEA 15%, draw 26%, Doxa 59%.
Lower-risk option: Doxa or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Price worth noting: Doxa to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Doxa or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: APEA 0–1 Doxa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
APEA15%fair 6.50 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Doxa59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
2.49Expected goals
0.77APEA xG
1.72Doxa xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: APEA 0.8 – 1.7 Doxa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Doxa to win✗
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Doxa or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Doxa (draw no bet)
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
APEA +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Doxa to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Doxa / FT Doxa✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.04
–
Recent results
APEA – last 3
WDL
21 Apr
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
2–0
W
18 Mar
@ Ahironas Onisilos
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Iraklis Yerolakkou
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Doxa – last 4
LLWL
19 Apr
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
1–5
L
18 Mar
@ Nea Salamis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs ASIL Lysi
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APEA and Doxa.
Our pick is Doxa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win APEA vs Doxa?
On our numbers APEA have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Doxa 59%.
How many goals will there be in APEA vs Doxa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APEA vs Doxa?
Our predicted score is APEA 0–1 Doxa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is APEA vs Doxa?
APEA vs Doxa (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
