Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDoxa to win ✓71% · @1.27
Double chanceDoxa or draw ✓89% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61% · @1.73
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓8% · fair 12.25
Doxa vs Ayia Napa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ayia Napa travel to face Doxa on Saturday 17 October in the 2. Division, with Makario Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Doxa are 2nd, among the top four, on 17 points after 7 matches; Ayia Napa are 15th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Doxa, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Halkanoras, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Ayia Napa, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Enosis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Doxa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Ayia Napa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Doxa 2.5 xG, Ayia Napa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 50% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Doxa 71%, draw 18%, Ayia Napa 11%.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Doxa to win (71%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: Doxa 2–0 Ayia Napa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Doxa71%fair 1.42 · @1.27
Draw18%fair 5.57 · @4.75
Ayia Napa11%fair 8.74 · @9.50
3.52Expected goals
2.55Doxa xG
0.97Ayia Napa xG
50%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–19%
3–08%
3–18%
1–08%
1–17%
From our goals model: Doxa 2.5 – 1.0 Ayia Napa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Doxa to win✓
71%
1.42
1.27
Double chance
Doxa or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Doxa (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Doxa -1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
First team to score
Doxa to score first✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Doxa ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Doxa / FT Doxa✓
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
8%
12.25
–
Recent results
Doxa – last 6
WWDLLW
10 Oct
@ Halkanoras
4–3
W
19 Sep
vs Anagennisi Deryneia
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ APEA
3–3
D
19 Apr
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
1–5
L
18 Mar
@ Nea Salamis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs ASIL Lysi
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ayia Napa – last 6
LDLWLL
10 Oct
vs Enosis
1–2
L
18 Sep
@ Iraklis Yerolakkou
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs ASIL Lysi
1–3
L
19 Apr
vs PAEEK
6–3
W
4 Apr
@ Nea Salamis
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Karmiotissa
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Doxa and Ayia Napa.
Our pick is Doxa to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
On our numbers Doxa have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ayia Napa 11%.
How many goals will there be in Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
Our predicted score is Doxa 2–0 Ayia Napa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Doxa vs Ayia Napa?
Doxa vs Ayia Napa (2. Division) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Makario Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
