Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–3 ✗3% · fair 33.70
Thalwil vs Freienbach: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Freienbach travel to face Thalwil on Sunday 23 August in the 1. Liga Classic Group 3 – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Thalwil are 7th, upper half, on 19 points after 13 matches; Freienbach are 9th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Thalwil, last 4: LLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Winterthur II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Freienbach, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Baden, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Thalwil 1.3 xG, Freienbach 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Thalwil 38%, draw 21%, Freienbach 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thalwil 1–2 Freienbach. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Thalwil38%fair 2.63 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.50
Freienbach41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
2.74Expected goals
1.34Thalwil xG
1.40Freienbach xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Thalwil 1.3 – 1.4 Freienbach expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Freienbach to win✗
41%
2.44
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Freienbach (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Thalwil +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Freienbach to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Freienbach / FT Freienbach✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–3✗
3%
33.70
–
Recent results
Thalwil – last 4
LLWL
19 Aug
@ Winterthur II
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs FC ST. Gallen
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Collina d'Oro
2–1
W
27 Jun
vs FC Zurich
4–6
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Freienbach – last 6
DDLDWL
14 Aug
vs Baden
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ Gossau
0–0
D
24 Jun
vs Rapperswil
1–3
L
13 May
@ Kosova
3–3
D
25 Mar
@ Höngg
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Wettswil-Bonstetten
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Thalwil and Freienbach.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Thalwil vs Freienbach?
On our numbers Thalwil have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Freienbach 41%.
How many goals will there be in Thalwil vs Freienbach?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Thalwil vs Freienbach?
Our predicted score is Thalwil 1–2 Freienbach, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Thalwil vs Freienbach?
Thalwil vs Freienbach (1. Liga Classic Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
