Winterthur II 57%Draw 23%Locarno 21%Expected goals 1.81 – 0.99
79%
Betarazi pick
Winterthur II or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Winterthur II to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWinterthur II to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceWinterthur II or draw ✓79% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.54
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Winterthur II vs Locarno: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the 1. Liga Classic Group 3 brings Winterthur II against Locarno. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Winterthur II are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Locarno are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Winterthur II, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Dietikon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Locarno, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Collina d'Oro, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Locarno, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Winterthur II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Winterthur II 1.8 xG, Locarno 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Winterthur II 57%, draw 23%, Locarno 21%.
Lower-risk option: Winterthur II or draw (79%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.54.
Price worth noting: Winterthur II to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Winterthur II or draw (79%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Winterthur II 1–0 Locarno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Winterthur II57%fair 1.77 · @1.88
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.52
Locarno21%fair 4.87 · @3.26
2.80Expected goals
1.81Winterthur II xG
0.99Locarno xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Winterthur II 1.8 – 1.0 Locarno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Winterthur II to win✓
57%
1.77
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Winterthur II or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.54
Draw no bet
Winterthur II (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Locarno +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.41
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Winterthur II to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Winterthur II ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Winterthur II / FT Winterthur II✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Recent results
Winterthur II – last 6
DLLLLW
31 Oct
@ Dietikon
2–2
D
24 Oct
vs Tuggen
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Eschen Mauren
0–4
L
9 Oct
@ Wettswil-Bonstetten
0–3
L
4 Oct
vs St. Gallen II
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Freienbach
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Locarno – last 6
LDDWDW
31 Oct
vs Collina d'Oro
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Mendrisio
0–0
D
18 Oct
@ Concordia Lausanne
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Kosova
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Thalwil
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Baden
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Winterthur II and Locarno.
What is the prediction for Winterthur II vs Locarno?
Our pick is Winterthur II or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Winterthur II vs Locarno?
On our numbers Winterthur II have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Locarno 21%.
How many goals will there be in Winterthur II vs Locarno?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Winterthur II vs Locarno?
Our predicted score is Winterthur II 1–0 Locarno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Winterthur II vs Locarno?
Winterthur II vs Locarno (1. Liga Classic Group 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
