Value bet: Aragua FC to win @ 2.30 – our chance 48% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAragua FC to win ✗48% · @2.30
Double chanceAragua FC or draw ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.65
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.84
Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Avila FC welcome Aragua FC for a Segunda División fixture on Sunday 9 August (20:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Avila FC are 8th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 26 matches; Aragua FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 43. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Avila FC, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Petare FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Aragua FC, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bolívar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aragua FC, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.5 for Atletico Avila FC.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Avila FC 0.7 xG, Aragua FC 1.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Avila FC 26%, draw 26%, Aragua FC 48%.
Lower-risk option: Aragua FC or draw (74%) at 1.33.
Price worth noting: Aragua FC to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 48%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Aragua FC or draw (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Aragua FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Avila FC26%fair 3.84 · @2.88
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.00
Aragua FC48%fair 2.09 · @2.30
2.02Expected goals
0.73Atletico Avila FC xG
1.30Aragua FC xG
39%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–013%
1–112%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%
From our goals model: Atletico Avila FC 0.7 – 1.3 Aragua FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aragua FC to win✗
48%
2.09
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Aragua FC or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
–
Draw no bet
Aragua FC (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Avila FC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Aragua FC to score first✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aragua FC / FT Aragua FC✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.84
–
Recent results
Atletico Avila FC – last 6
LLDDLD
2 Aug
vs Petare FC
0–1
L
24 Jun
@ Academia Anzoátegui
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Mineros de Guyana
1–1
D
31 May
vs Bolívar
0–0
D
22 May
@ Monagas II
0–2
L
17 May
vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Aragua FC – last 5
WLDLW
1 Aug
vs Bolívar
1–0
W
26 Jul
@ Petare FC
1–2
L
24 Jun
@ Caracas FC
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Monagas II
1–2
L
31 May
@ Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Avila FC and Aragua FC.
What is the prediction for Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Our pick is Aragua FC or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
On our numbers Atletico Avila FC have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aragua FC 48%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Our predicted score is Atletico Avila FC 0–1 Aragua FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC?
Atletico Avila FC vs Aragua FC (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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