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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dumbrăviţa v CSM Satu Mare: numbers & prediction

Liga II · Romania · Stefan Dobay Stadium
1–1
FT
Dumbrăviţa 51%Draw 25%CSM Satu Mare 24% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.05
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultDumbrăviţa to win ✗51% · @1.50
Double chanceDumbrăviţa or draw ✓76% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.72

Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Wednesday 5 August: Dumbrăviţa v CSM Satu Mare in the Liga II, played at Stefan Dobay Stadium. In the table, Dumbrăviţa are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 13 matches; CSM Satu Mare are 18th (lower half) with 9.

Current form

Dumbrăviţa, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Uta Arad, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

CSM Satu Mare, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Concordia, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.

Momentum favours CSM Satu Mare, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Dumbrăviţa.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Apr 2026) it ended CSM Satu Mare 3–2 Dumbrăviţa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dumbrăviţa 1.3 xG, CSM Satu Mare 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dumbrăviţa 51%, draw 25%, CSM Satu Mare 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dumbrăviţa 1–1 CSM Satu Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dumbrăviţa51%fair 1.96 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.95
CSM Satu Mare24%fair 4.17 · @5.50
2.36Expected goals
1.32Dumbrăviţa xG
1.05CSM Satu Mare xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%

From our goals model: Dumbrăviţa 1.3 – 1.0 CSM Satu Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDumbrăviţa to win ✗51%1.961.50
Double chanceDumbrăviţa or draw ✓76%1.321.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.93 ▲
Draw no betDumbrăviţa (draw no bet)68%1.47–
Asian handicapCSM Satu Mare +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.411.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreDumbrăviţa to score first50%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Dumbrăviţa / FT Dumbrăviţa ✗25%4.04–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.72–

Recent results

Dumbrăviţa – last 6

LWLWLD
27 Jun@ Uta Arad0–4L
9 Mayvs CS Afumati1–0W
2 May@ FC Bacau0–1L
25 Aprvs CSM Reşiţa2–0W
18 Apr@ Tunari1–2L
10 Aprvs Viitorul Şelimbăr0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

CSM Satu Mare – last 6

DDWWWW
9 May@ Concordia2–2D
2 Mayvs Tunari1–1D
25 Apr@ CS Afumati3–1W
18 Aprvs Viitorul Şelimbăr4–0W
10 Apr@ FC Bacau3–1W
4 Aprvs Dumbrăviţa3–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Apr 2026CSM Satu Mare v Dumbrăviţa3–2
Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare head-to-head page →

Liga II table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Chindia Targoviste131003+1930
2FC Politehnica Timisoara13850+1329
3Slatina13913+928
4Popești-Leordeni13832+927
5Concordia13814+1425
6CSM Reşiţa13814+425
7Metalul Buzău13733+624
8Cetatea Suceava13643+822
9Metaloglobus13634+221
10CSM Ramnicu Valcea13625-120
11FC Bacau13544+919
12Bihor Oradea13544+719
13CS Afumati13535-118
14Gloria Bistriţa13607-218
15Unirea Slobozia13427+214
16CSA Steaua Bucureşti13256-711
17ASA Targu Mures13328-1311
18CSM Satu Mare13166-89
19Viitorul Şelimbăr13238-169
20Ştefăneşti133010-209
21CS Dinamo București13229-178
22Dumbrăviţa13049-174

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?

On our numbers Dumbrăviţa have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CSM Satu Mare 24%.

How many goals will there be in Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?

Our predicted score is Dumbrăviţa 1–1 CSM Satu Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare?

Dumbrăviţa vs CSM Satu Mare (Liga II) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stefan Dobay Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.