Value bet: Cetatea Suceava to win @ 1.77 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCetatea Suceava to win ✓64% · @1.77
Double chanceCetatea Suceava or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
09:00 WAT, Saturday 15 August: Cetatea Suceava v CSM Satu Mare in the Liga II. In the table, Cetatea Suceava are 8th, upper half, on 22 points after 13 matches; CSM Satu Mare are 18th (lower half) with 9. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cetatea Suceava, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to USV Iaşi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
CSM Satu Mare, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Minaur Baia Mare, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cetatea Suceava, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for CSM Satu Mare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cetatea Suceava 1.8 xG, CSM Satu Mare 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cetatea Suceava 64%, draw 21%, CSM Satu Mare 16%.
Lower-risk option: Cetatea Suceava or draw (84%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Cetatea Suceava to win @1.77 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cetatea Suceava 1–0 CSM Satu Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cetatea Suceava64%fair 1.57 · @1.77
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
CSM Satu Mare16%fair 6.38 · @4.00
2.55Expected goals
1.81Cetatea Suceava xG
0.74CSM Satu Mare xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Cetatea Suceava 1.8 – 0.7 CSM Satu Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cetatea Suceava to win✓
64%
1.57
1.77 ▲
Double chance
Cetatea Suceava or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Draw no bet
Cetatea Suceava (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Cetatea Suceava -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Cetatea Suceava to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Cetatea Suceava ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cetatea Suceava / FT Cetatea Suceava✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Cetatea Suceava – last 6
LWLWWW
12 Aug
@ USV Iaşi
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ ASA Targu Mures
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Concordia
1–3
L
8 May
vs Sporting Lieşti
3–1
W
24 Apr
@ Sepsi II
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Blejoi
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CSM Satu Mare – last 6
LLDDDW
12 Aug
@ Minaur Baia Mare
0–5
L
8 Aug
vs CSM Reşiţa
0–2
L
5 Aug
@ Dumbrăviţa
1–1
D
9 May
@ Concordia
2–2
D
2 May
vs Tunari
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ CS Afumati
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cetatea Suceava and CSM Satu Mare.
What is the prediction for Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?
On our numbers Cetatea Suceava have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and CSM Satu Mare 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?
Our predicted score is Cetatea Suceava 1–0 CSM Satu Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare?
Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
