CSM Satu Mare 21%Draw 23%Metalul Buzău 56%Expected goals 0.61 – 1.28
79%
Betarazi pick
Metalul Buzău or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMetalul Buzău to win ✗56% · @1.80
Double chanceMetalul Buzău or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.25
CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Metalul Buzău travel to face CSM Satu Mare on Saturday 17 October in the Liga II, with Daniel Prodan Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, CSM Satu Mare are 18th, lower half, on 9 points after 13 matches; Metalul Buzău are 7th (upper half) with 24. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
CSM Satu Mare, last 5: DLDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with CS Dinamo București, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Metalul Buzău, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ASA Targu Mures, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Metalul Buzău, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for CSM Satu Mare.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give CSM Satu Mare 0.6 xG, Metalul Buzău 1.3 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – CSM Satu Mare 21%, draw 23%, Metalul Buzău 56%.
Lower-risk option: Metalul Buzău or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metalul Buzău or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: CSM Satu Mare 0–1 Metalul Buzău. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
CSM Satu Mare21%fair 4.77 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.10
Metalul Buzău56%fair 1.78 · @1.80
1.89Expected goals
0.61CSM Satu Mare xG
1.28Metalul Buzău xG
53%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–119%
0–015%
0–212%
1–112%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: CSM Satu Mare 0.6 – 1.3 Metalul Buzău expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metalul Buzău to win✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Double chance
Metalul Buzău or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
Metalul Buzău (draw no bet)
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
CSM Satu Mare +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Metalul Buzău to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău✗
31%
3.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.25
–
Recent results
CSM Satu Mare – last 6
DLDDLD
10 Oct
@ CS Dinamo București
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs CS Afumati
0–2
L
12 Sep
@ Metaloglobus
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs FC Politehnica Timisoara
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Gloria Bistriţa
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Bihor Oradea
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Metalul Buzău – last 6
WWWDLL
10 Oct
vs ASA Targu Mures
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Concordia
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Unirea Slobozia
2–0
W
5 Sep
@ Viitorul Şelimbăr
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Chindia Targoviste
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Slatina
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CSM Satu Mare and Metalul Buzău.
What is the prediction for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
Our pick is Metalul Buzău or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
On our numbers CSM Satu Mare have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Metalul Buzău 56%.
How many goals will there be in CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
Our predicted score is CSM Satu Mare 0–1 Metalul Buzău, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău?
CSM Satu Mare vs Metalul Buzău (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Daniel Prodan Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
