Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:30 WAT, Thursday 6 August: Puerto Cabello v Caracas FC in the Primera División, played at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. In the table, Puerto Cabello are 3rd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Caracas FC are 2nd (among the top four) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Puerto Cabello, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Metropolitanos FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Caracas FC, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Estudiantes de Merida FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Puerto Cabello 1.5 xG, Caracas FC 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Puerto Cabello 52%, draw 26%, Caracas FC 21%.
Lower-risk option: Puerto Cabello or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Puerto Cabello 1–0 Caracas FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Puerto Cabello52%fair 1.91 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.25
Caracas FC21%fair 4.66 · @3.95
2.49Expected goals
1.52Puerto Cabello xG
0.97Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.5 – 1.0 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Double chance
Puerto Cabello or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Puerto Cabello (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Caracas FC +1 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Puerto Cabello to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Puerto Cabello – last 6
LLWLDL
2 Aug
@ Metropolitanos FC
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Carabobo FC
1–2
L
31 May
@ Deportivo La Guaira
2–0
W
27 May
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
21 May
vs Juventud
1–1
D
17 May
@ Portuguesa FC
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Caracas FC – last 6
DLLDLW
3 Aug
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Santa Fe
0–3
L
24 Jul
@ Santa Fe
0–2
L
24 Jun
vs Aragua FC
1–1
D
27 May
vs Botafogo
1–3
L
5 May
@ Independiente Petrolero
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Caracas FC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Caracas FC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 1–0 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
