Value bet: Deportivo Recoleta to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRubio NU to win ✗39% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportivo Recoleta travel to face Rubio NU on Friday 7 August in the Division Profesional Clausura, with Estadio La Arboleda the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, Rubio NU are 10th, in the drop zone, on 17 points after 19 matches; Deportivo Recoleta are 11th (in the drop zone) with 16. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Rubio NU, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Olimpia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Deportivo Recoleta, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Nacional Asuncion, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Deportivo Recoleta 1–0 Rubio NU.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rubio NU 1.5 xG, Deportivo Recoleta 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 61% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rubio NU 39%, draw 25%, Deportivo Recoleta 36%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Recoleta to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubio NU 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rubio NU39%fair 2.57 · @2.16
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Deportivo Recoleta36%fair 2.79 · @3.10
2.97Expected goals
1.49Rubio NU xG
1.49Deportivo Recoleta xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Rubio NU 1.5 – 1.5 Deportivo Recoleta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
On our numbers Rubio NU have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Recoleta 36%.
How many goals will there be in Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Our predicted score is Rubio NU 1–1 Deportivo Recoleta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta?
Rubio NU vs Deportivo Recoleta (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Arboleda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
