Sportivo Ameliano v Cerro Porteno Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCerro Porteno to win ✗44% · @2.04

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.67

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sportivo Ameliano welcome Cerro Porteno for a Division Profesional Clausura fixture on Saturday 8 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Ameliano are 9th, lower half, on 19 points after 19 matches; Cerro Porteno are 7th (lower half) with 28.

Current form

Sportivo Ameliano, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with 2 de Mayo, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Cerro Porteno, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sportivo Luqueno, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cerro Porteno, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sportivo Ameliano.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Cerro Porteno 1–1 Sportivo Ameliano. The last 2 head-to-heads: Sportivo Ameliano 0 wins, Cerro Porteno 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Ameliano 1.1 xG, Cerro Porteno 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Ameliano 29%, draw 27%, Cerro Porteno 44%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Cerro Porteno. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sportivo Ameliano29%fair 3.49 · @3.55

Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.15

Cerro Porteno44%fair 2.27 · @2.04

2.39Expected goals

1.06Sportivo Ameliano xG

1.33Cerro Porteno xG

57%Both score

43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–112%

1–010%

0–09%

1–29%

0–28%

From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 1.1 – 1.3 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Cerro Porteno to win ✗	44%	2.27	2.04
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.37	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.76	1.85 ▲
Draw no bet	Cerro Porteno (draw no bet) ✗	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Sportivo Ameliano +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	74%	1.34	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	68%	1.48	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	57%	1.74	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	77%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Cerro Porteno to score first ✗	50%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Cerro Porteno / FT Cerro Porteno ✗	25%	4.03	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.67	–

Sportivo Ameliano – last 6

DDDLWD

1 Aug	vs 2 de Mayo	1–1	D
28 Jul	@ Rubio NU	1–1	D
25 Jul	vs Nacional Asuncion	1–1	D
24 May	vs Sportivo Trinidense	1–2	L
11 May	vs Deportivo Recoleta	3–2	W
3 May	@ Olimpia	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

100%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Cerro Porteno – last 6

WLLWWW

1 Aug	vs Sportivo Luqueno	3–0	W
28 Jul	@ 2 de Mayo	1–2	L
24 Jul	vs Sportivo Trinidense	1–2	L
28 May	vs Sporting Cristal	2–0	W
24 May	vs Rubio NU	2–0	W
21 May	@ Palmeiras	1–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Division Profesional Clausura table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia	19	13	3	3	+23	42
2	Sportivo Trinidense	19	10	4	5	+13	34
3	Libertad Asuncion	19	10	3	6	+8	33
4	Nacional Asuncion	19	9	5	5	+12	32
5	Club Guarani	19	8	7	4	+4	31
6	2 de Mayo	19	8	6	5	-3	30
7	Cerro Porteno	19	8	4	7	+5	28
8	Sportivo Luqueno	19	7	1	11	-8	22
9	Sportivo Ameliano	19	4	7	8	-9	19
10	Rubio NU	19	4	5	10	-15	17
11	Deportivo Recoleta	19	4	4	11	-12	16
12	Club Sp. San Lorenzo	19	2	5	12	-18	11

Team

Pts

+23

+13

+12

-3

-8

-9

-15

-12

-18

More Division Profesional Clausura predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerro Porteno 44%.

How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 1–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno?

Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sportivo Ameliano v Cerro Porteno: numbers & prediction