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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense: numbers & prediction

Division Profesional Clausura · Paraguay · Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Libertad Asuncion 41%Draw 27%Sportivo Trinidense 33% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.30
71%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.40 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.31

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:30 WAT, Monday 10 August: Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense in the Division Profesional Clausura, played at Estadio Tigo La Huerta. In the table, Libertad Asuncion are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 19 matches; Sportivo Trinidense are 2nd (among the top four) with 34. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Libertad Asuncion, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Club Guarani, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sportivo Trinidense, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Club Sp. San Lorenzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Sportivo Trinidense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Libertad Asuncion.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Apr 2026) it ended Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Libertad Asuncion 1.5 xG, Sportivo Trinidense 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Libertad Asuncion 41%, draw 27%, Sportivo Trinidense 33%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Libertad Asuncion41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.05
Sportivo Trinidense33%fair 3.07 · @3.15
2.78Expected goals
1.48Libertad Asuncion xG
1.30Sportivo Trinidense xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Libertad Asuncion 1.5 – 1.3 Sportivo Trinidense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLibertad Asuncion to win ✓41%2.452.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.361.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.85 ▲
Draw no betLibertad Asuncion (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapSportivo Trinidense +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreLibertad Asuncion to score first50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Libertad Asuncion / FT Libertad Asuncion ✗25%4.08–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.31–

Recent results

Libertad Asuncion – last 6

LWWLLL
2 Aug@ Club Guarani1–2L
30 Julvs Deportivo Recoleta4–1W
26 Jul@ Olimpia1–0W
27 Mayvs UCV0–1L
24 May@ Nacional Asuncion1–2L
20 May@ Independiente del Valle1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sportivo Trinidense – last 6

WWWWLL
3 Augvs Club Sp. San Lorenzo3–0W
29 Jul@ Sportivo Luqueno4–1W
24 Jul@ Cerro Porteno2–1W
24 May@ Sportivo Ameliano2–1W
10 May@ Nacional Asuncion1–2L
1 Mayvs 2 de Mayo1–2L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Apr 2026Libertad Asuncion v Sportivo Trinidense1–1
Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense head-to-head page →

Division Profesional Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia191333+2342
2Sportivo Trinidense191045+1334
3Libertad Asuncion191036+833
4Nacional Asuncion19955+1232
5Club Guarani19874+431
62 de Mayo19865-330
7Cerro Porteno19847+528
8Sportivo Luqueno197111-822
9Sportivo Ameliano19478-919
10Rubio NU194510-1517
11Deportivo Recoleta194411-1216
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo192512-1811

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

On our numbers Libertad Asuncion have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sportivo Trinidense 33%.

How many goals will there be in Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Our predicted score is Libertad Asuncion 1–1 Sportivo Trinidense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Libertad Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Monday 10 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tigo La Huerta.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.