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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gagra v Aragvi Dusheti: numbers & prediction

David Kipiani Cup · Georgia · David Petriashvili Stadium

Gagra

LDDWW
0–0
FTPens 4–3
Gagra 63%Draw 21%Aragvi Dusheti 17% Expected goals 1.82 – 0.78
63%
Betarazi pick

Gagra to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGagra to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceGagra or draw ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.41

Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aragvi Dusheti travel to face Gagra on Wednesday 26 August in the David Kipiani Cup, with David Petriashvili Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Gagra, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rustavi, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gori, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Aragvi Dusheti, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Gagra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gagra 1.8 xG, Aragvi Dusheti 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gagra 63%, draw 21%, Aragvi Dusheti 17%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Gagra to win (63%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gagra 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gagra63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.70
Aragvi Dusheti17%fair 6.05 · @6.00
2.60Expected goals
1.82Gagra xG
0.78Aragvi Dusheti xG
43%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%

From our goals model: Gagra 1.8 – 0.8 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGagra to win ✗63%1.591.44
Double chanceGagra or draw ✓83%1.20–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betGagra (draw no bet)79%1.26–
Asian handicapGagra -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.93–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreGagra to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultGagra ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gagra / FT Gagra ✗39%2.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.41–

Recent results

Gagra – last 6

LDDWWD
22 Aug@ Rustavi0–3L
17 Augvs Spaeri1–1D
8 Aug@ Dinamo Batumi2–2D
2 Aug@ Gareji4–1W
27 Jul@ Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe2–1W
11 Julvs FC Urartu2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Aragvi Dusheti – last 6

WWLWDW
22 Augvs Gori1–0W
15 Aug@ Gareji2–0W
8 Augvs Samtredia2–4L
2 Aug@ Guria2–1W
25 Jul@ Kolkheti Poti0–0D
17 Julvs FC Urartu4–3W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gagra and Aragvi Dusheti.

Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti head-to-head page →

More David Kipiani Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?

Our pick is Gagra to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?

On our numbers Gagra have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aragvi Dusheti 17%.

How many goals will there be in Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?

Our predicted score is Gagra 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti?

Gagra vs Aragvi Dusheti (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at David Petriashvili Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.