Atletico Torque vs Penarol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 1 October the Primera División Apertura brings Atletico Torque against Penarol at Estadio Centenario. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Torque are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 13 matches; Penarol are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Atletico Torque, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Maldonado, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Penarol, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Penarol, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Atletico Torque.
Head to head
When they last met (27 Aug 2026) it ended Penarol 1–0 Atletico Torque.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.3 xG, Penarol 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 33%, draw 23%, Penarol 44%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–1 Penarol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Torque33%fair 3.05 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Penarol44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
2.76Expected goals
1.26Atletico Torque xG
1.50Penarol xG
54%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.3 – 1.5 Penarol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Penarol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Atletico Torque vs Penarol?
On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Penarol 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Penarol?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Penarol?
Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Penarol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Torque vs Penarol?
Atletico Torque vs Penarol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Thursday 1 October 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
