Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 10 September the Copa Colombia brings Once Caldas against Alianza Valledupar at Estadio Palogrande. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT.
Current form
Once Caldas, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Chico, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Alianza Valledupar, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to America de Cali, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Once Caldas, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.2 for Alianza Valledupar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Once Caldas 1.8 xG, Alianza Valledupar 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Once Caldas 63%, draw 23%, Alianza Valledupar 13%.
Lower-risk option: Once Caldas or draw (87%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Once Caldas63%fair 1.58 · @1.59
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Alianza Valledupar13%fair 7.44 · @5.70
2.48Expected goals
1.79Once Caldas xG
0.69Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.8 – 0.7 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✓
63%
1.58
1.59
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.05
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Once Caldas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.07
First team to score
Once Caldas to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Once Caldas ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Once Caldas – last 6
LWDDLD
5 Sep
@ Chico
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
24 Aug
@ Junior
1–1
D
10 Aug
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
6 Aug
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
3 Aug
@ Santa Fe
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
LLLDLL
3 Sep
@ America de Cali
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Atletico Nacional
1–5
L
26 Aug
@ Cucuta
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Deportivo Pereira
0–0
D
9 Aug
vs Bucaramanga
2–3
L
1 Aug
vs Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Valledupar 13%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Once Caldas vs Alianza Valledupar (Copa Colombia) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
