Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.36Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 50% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗50% · @3.50
Double chanceLokomotiv Kyiv or draw ✗80% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 16.43
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 21 August the Cup brings Lokomotiv Kyiv against Probiy Horodenka. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT.
Current form
Lokomotiv Kyiv, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Ahrobiznes Volochysk, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Probiy Horodenka, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Prykarpattia, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.6 xG, Probiy Horodenka 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lokomotiv Kyiv 30%, draw 50%, Probiy Horodenka 20%.
Lower-risk option: Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw (80%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw (80%, odds 1.36 – longer than our fair 1.25, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Probiy Horodenka. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lokomotiv Kyiv30%fair 3.31 · @2.00
Draw50%fair 2.00 · @3.50
Probiy Horodenka20%fair 5.08 · @3.10
2.94Expected goals
1.59Lokomotiv Kyiv xG
1.35Probiy Horodenka xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv Kyiv 1.6 – 1.4 Probiy Horodenka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
50%
2.00
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.36 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv Kyiv (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Probiy Horodenka +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv Kyiv to score first✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv Kyiv / FT Lokomotiv Kyiv✗
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
16.43
–
Recent results
Lokomotiv Kyiv – last 6
DLDDDW
14 Aug
@ Ahrobiznes Volochysk
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
2–2
D
25 Jul
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
7 Jul
@ Obolon'-Brovar
0–0
D
22 May
@ Penuel
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Probiy Horodenka – last 6
LDLDLW
14 Aug
@ Prykarpattia
0–3
L
9 Aug
vs Chernihiv
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Metal Kharkiv
1–3
L
26 Jul
vs Inhulets
2–2
D
1 Jun
vs Prykarpattia
0–3
L
23 May
@ Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv Kyiv and Probiy Horodenka.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our pick is Lokomotiv Kyiv or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
On our numbers Lokomotiv Kyiv have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 50% and Probiy Horodenka 20%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv Kyiv 1–1 Probiy Horodenka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka?
Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Probiy Horodenka (Cup) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
