Muharraq vs Al Ahli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muharraq welcome Al Ahli for a Premier League fixture on Friday 28 August (17:00 WAT). In the table, Muharraq are 4th, among the top four, on 11 points after 7 matches; Al Ahli are 5th (upper half) with 9. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muharraq, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Khalidiya, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al Ahli, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Hidd, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Muharraq, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Al Ahli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muharraq 1.9 xG, Al Ahli 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muharraq 62%, draw 24%, Al Ahli 14%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.90.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muharraq 2–0 Al Ahli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muharraq62%fair 1.61 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.90
Al Ahli14%fair 7.10 · @6.40
2.75Expected goals
1.93Muharraq xG
0.82Al Ahli xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Muharraq 1.9 – 0.8 Al Ahli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muharraq to win✗
62%
1.61
1.45
Double chance
Muharraq or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.90 ▲
Draw no bet
Muharraq (draw no bet)
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Muharraq -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Muharraq to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Muharraq ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muharraq / FT Muharraq✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Recent results
Muharraq – last 6
WWWWWW
11 May
@ Khalidiya
2–1
W
4 May
@ Al Najma
3–1
W
29 Apr
vs Budaiya
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–1
W
16 Apr
@ Al-Hidd
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Sitra
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al Ahli – last 5
LWLWW
11 May
vs Al-Hidd
0–1
L
5 May
@ Sitra
2–0
W
29 Apr
vs Al Riffa
2–3
L
17 Apr
@ Bahrain SC
2–1
W
20 Feb
vs Al Najma
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muharraq and Al Ahli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
On our numbers Muharraq have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al Ahli 14%.
How many goals will there be in Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
Our predicted score is Muharraq 2–0 Al Ahli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Muharraq vs Al Ahli?
Muharraq vs Al Ahli (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
