Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultKhenchela to win ✗45% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Khenchela vs USM Alger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Ligue 1 brings Khenchela against USM Alger at Amar Hamam Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Khenchela are 13th, lower half, on 6 points after 8 matches; USM Alger are 6th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Khenchela, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over MB Rouisset, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
USM Alger, last 5: DDDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with MC Oran, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Khenchela, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for USM Alger.
Head to head
When they last met (25 May 2026) it ended Khenchela 2–1 USM Alger.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Khenchela 1.3 xG, USM Alger 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Khenchela 45%, draw 24%, USM Alger 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Khenchela 1–1 USM Alger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Khenchela45%fair 2.22 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.00
USM Alger31%fair 3.25 · @3.10
2.24Expected goals
1.27Khenchela xG
0.98USM Alger xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Khenchela 1.3 – 1.0 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Khenchela vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Khenchela vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Khenchela have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and USM Alger 31%.
How many goals will there be in Khenchela vs USM Alger?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Khenchela vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Khenchela 1–1 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Khenchela vs USM Alger?
Khenchela vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Amar Hamam Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
