Value bet: USM Alger to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUSM Alger to win ✓38% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.79
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Olympique Akbou v USM Alger in the Ligue 1, played at Stade des Martyrs. In the table, Olympique Akbou are 7th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; USM Alger are 6th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olympique Akbou, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to MB Rouisset, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
USM Alger, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over JS El Biar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours USM Alger, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Olympique Akbou.
Head to head
When they last met (19 May 2026) it ended USM Alger 1–0 Olympique Akbou.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olympique Akbou 0.7 xG, USM Alger 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olympique Akbou 35%, draw 26%, USM Alger 38%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: USM Alger to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (54%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympique Akbou 0–0 USM Alger. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olympique Akbou35%fair 2.83 · @2.60
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.62
USM Alger38%fair 2.62 · @2.90
1.50Expected goals
0.73Olympique Akbou xG
0.77USM Alger xG
46%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–022%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Olympique Akbou 0.7 – 0.8 USM Alger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
On our numbers Olympique Akbou have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and USM Alger 38%.
How many goals will there be in Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Our predicted score is Olympique Akbou 0–0 USM Alger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger?
Olympique Akbou vs USM Alger (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Martyrs.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
