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Vélez Sársfield Res. v Atlético Tucumán Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Vélez Sársfield Res. 68%Draw 20%Atlético Tucumán Res. 12% Expected goals 1.90 – 0.63
68%
Betarazi pick

Vélez Sársfield Res. to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓68% · @1.36
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Atlético Tucumán Res. travel to face Vélez Sársfield Res. on Tuesday 25 August in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Vélez Sársfield Res. are 3rd, among the top four, on 33 points after 17 matches; Atlético Tucumán Res. are 22nd (lower half) with 19. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Vélez Sársfield Res., last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Godoy Cruz Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Atlético Tucumán Res., last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to River Plate Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (27 Mar 2026) it ended Atlético Tucumán Res. 0–2 Vélez Sársfield Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.9 xG, Atlético Tucumán Res. 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vélez Sársfield Res. 68%, draw 20%, Atlético Tucumán Res. 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vélez Sársfield Res. to win (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Atlético Tucumán Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vélez Sársfield Res.68%fair 1.47 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.90
Atlético Tucumán Res.12%fair 8.54 · @7.00
2.53Expected goals
1.90Vélez Sársfield Res. xG
0.63Atlético Tucumán Res. xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%

From our goals model: Vélez Sársfield Res. 1.9 – 0.6 Atlético Tucumán Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVélez Sársfield Res. to win ✓68%1.471.36
Double chanceVélez Sársfield Res. or draw ✓88%1.131.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.00
Draw no betVélez Sársfield Res. (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapVélez Sársfield Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.87–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.13–
First team to scoreVélez Sársfield Res. to score first ✓69%1.44–
Half-time resultVélez Sársfield Res. ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vélez Sársfield Res. / FT Vélez Sársfield Res. ✓44%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

Vélez Sársfield Res. – last 6

DWDLLD
18 Aug@ Godoy Cruz Res.1–1D
11 Augvs Gimnasia Mendoza 22–0W
7 Aug@ Barracas Central Res.0–0D
27 Jul@ Banfield Res.0–1L
22 Julvs Talleres Córdoba Res.0–1L
5 Julvs Racing Club Res.0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Atlético Tucumán Res. – last 6

LDDLWL
18 Augvs River Plate Res.1–4L
11 Aug@ Racing Club Res.0–0D
4 Augvs Sarmiento Res.0–0D
24 Jul@ Argentinos Juniors Res.0–1L
14 Julvs Aldosivi Res.2–1W
28 Jun@ Boca Juniors Res.0–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

27 Mar 2026Atlético Tucumán Res. v Vélez Sársfield Res.0–2
Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Our pick is Vélez Sársfield Res. to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

On our numbers Vélez Sársfield Res. have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atlético Tucumán Res. 12%.

How many goals will there be in Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Our predicted score is Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0 Atlético Tucumán Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res.?

Vélez Sársfield Res. vs Atlético Tucumán Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.