Value bet: San Lorenzo Res. to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSan Lorenzo Res. to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.03
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 2 September the Reserve League brings Atlético Tucumán Res. against San Lorenzo Res.. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Tucumán Res. are 22nd, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; San Lorenzo Res. are 17th (upper half) with 21. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Tucumán Res., last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vélez Sársfield Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
San Lorenzo Res., last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Godoy Cruz Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours San Lorenzo Res., collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Atlético Tucumán Res..
Head to head
When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended San Lorenzo Res. 0–2 Atlético Tucumán Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Tucumán Res. 1.1 xG, San Lorenzo Res. 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Tucumán Res. 33%, draw 23%, San Lorenzo Res. 44%.
Price worth noting: San Lorenzo Res. to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Tucumán Res.33%fair 3.01 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
San Lorenzo Res.44%fair 2.26 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.14Atlético Tucumán Res. xG
1.38San Lorenzo Res. xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Tucumán Res. 1.1 – 1.4 San Lorenzo Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
On our numbers Atlético Tucumán Res. have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and San Lorenzo Res. 44%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Our predicted score is Atlético Tucumán Res. 1–1 San Lorenzo Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res.?
Atlético Tucumán Res. vs San Lorenzo Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
