Defensa y Justicia Res. 61%Draw 23%Independiente Riva. Res. 17%Expected goals 1.98 – 0.96
83%
Betarazi pick
Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Defensa y Justicia Res. to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDefensa y Justicia Res. to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceDefensa y Justicia Res. or draw ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Defensa y Justicia Res. welcome Independiente Riva. Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Thursday 3 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Defensa y Justicia Res. are 26th, lower half, on 16 points after 16 matches; Independiente Riva. Res. are 18th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
Defensa y Justicia Res., last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Deportivo Riestra Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Independiente Riva. Res., last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (31 Mar 2026) it ended Independiente Riva. Res. 2–3 Defensa y Justicia Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensa y Justicia Res. 2.0 xG, Independiente Riva. Res. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 56% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensa y Justicia Res. 61%, draw 23%, Independiente Riva. Res. 17%.
Lower-risk option: Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw (83%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Defensa y Justicia Res. to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw (83%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–0 Independiente Riva. Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensa y Justicia Res.61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.00
Independiente Riva. Res.17%fair 5.93 · @3.50
2.94Expected goals
1.98Defensa y Justicia Res. xG
0.96Independiente Riva. Res. xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–010%
2–010%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Defensa y Justicia Res. 2.0 – 1.0 Independiente Riva. Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensa y Justicia Res. to win✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.73
Draw no bet
Defensa y Justicia Res. (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Defensa y Justicia Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Defensa y Justicia Res. to score first✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Defensa y Justicia Res. ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensa y Justicia Res. / FT Defensa y Justicia Res.✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Recent results
Defensa y Justicia Res. – last 6
DDLDLD
27 Aug
@ Deportivo Riestra Res.
3–3
D
20 Aug
vs Belgrano Córdoba Res.
1–1
D
12 Aug
@ Lanús Res.
1–3
L
5 Aug
vs Newell's Old Boys Res.
1–1
D
13 Jul
@ Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
0–1
L
18 Jun
@ Huracán Res.
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Independiente Riva. Res. – last 6
DLWLLL
27 Aug
vs Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Huracán Res.
0–2
L
13 Aug
vs Ferro 2
2–1
W
4 Aug
@ Boca Juniors Res.
0–1
L
23 Jul
vs Independiente Res.
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Atl. Rafaela 2
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
31 Mar 2026
Independiente Riva. Res. v Defensa y Justicia Res.
What is the prediction for Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Our pick is Defensa y Justicia Res. or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
On our numbers Defensa y Justicia Res. have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente Riva. Res. 17%.
How many goals will there be in Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Our predicted score is Defensa y Justicia Res. 1–0 Independiente Riva. Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res.?
Defensa y Justicia Res. vs Independiente Riva. Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
