San Lorenzo Res. 58%Draw 27%Aldosivi Res. 14%Expected goals 1.59 – 0.68
86%
Betarazi pick
San Lorenzo Res. or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: San Lorenzo Res. to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSan Lorenzo Res. to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceSan Lorenzo Res. or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: San Lorenzo Res. v Aldosivi Res. in the Reserve League. In the table, San Lorenzo Res. are 17th, upper half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Aldosivi Res. are 27th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
San Lorenzo Res., last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Huracán Res., at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Aldosivi Res., last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Quilmes 2, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Aldosivi Res., collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for San Lorenzo Res..
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Aldosivi Res. 1–3 San Lorenzo Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give San Lorenzo Res. 1.6 xG, Aldosivi Res. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – San Lorenzo Res. 58%, draw 27%, Aldosivi Res. 14%.
Lower-risk option: San Lorenzo Res. or draw (86%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: San Lorenzo Res. to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was San Lorenzo Res. or draw (86%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
San Lorenzo Res.58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @2.90
Aldosivi Res.14%fair 6.99 · @4.00
2.27Expected goals
1.59San Lorenzo Res. xG
0.68Aldosivi Res. xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: San Lorenzo Res. 1.6 – 0.7 Aldosivi Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.?
Our pick is San Lorenzo Res. or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.?
On our numbers San Lorenzo Res. have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Aldosivi Res. 14%.
How many goals will there be in San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.?
Our predicted score is San Lorenzo Res. 1–0 Aldosivi Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res.?
San Lorenzo Res. vs Aldosivi Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
