Estudiantes La Plata Res 61%Draw 21%Lanús Res. 18%Expected goals 1.93 – 0.92
82%
Betarazi pick
Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.29Odds
1
Value bet: Estudiantes La Plata Res to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstudiantes La Plata Res to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEstudiantes La Plata Res or draw ✓82% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 14 October the Reserve League brings Estudiantes La Plata Res against Lanús Res.. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Estudiantes La Plata Res are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Lanús Res. are 2nd (among the top four) with 36.
Current form
Estudiantes La Plata Res, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newell's Old Boys Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Lanús Res., last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Central Córdoba SdE Res., at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (14 May 2026) it ended Lanús Res. 1–4 Estudiantes La Plata Res.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.9 xG, Lanús Res. 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estudiantes La Plata Res 61%, draw 21%, Lanús Res. 18%.
Lower-risk option: Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw (82%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Estudiantes La Plata Res to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw (82%, odds 1.29 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Lanús Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estudiantes La Plata Res61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.20
Lanús Res.18%fair 5.64 · @3.25
2.85Expected goals
1.93Estudiantes La Plata Res xG
0.92Lanús Res. xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Estudiantes La Plata Res 1.9 – 0.9 Lanús Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estudiantes La Plata Res to win✗
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.29 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Estudiantes La Plata Res (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes La Plata Res -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Estudiantes La Plata Res to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Estudiantes La Plata Res ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estudiantes La Plata Res / FT Estudiantes La Plata Res✗
What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Our pick is Estudiantes La Plata Res or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
On our numbers Estudiantes La Plata Res have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lanús Res. 18%.
How many goals will there be in Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Our predicted score is Estudiantes La Plata Res 1–0 Lanús Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res.?
Estudiantes La Plata Res vs Lanús Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
