Value bet: Tigre Res. to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento Res. to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.14
Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 20 October the Reserve League brings Sarmiento Res. against Tigre Res.. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento Res. are 15th, upper half, on 22 points after 16 matches; Tigre Res. are 32nd (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Sarmiento Res., last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with San Lorenzo Res., away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Tigre Res., last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Argentinos Juniors Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Tigre Res. 1–3 Sarmiento Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento Res. 1.3 xG, Tigre Res. 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento Res. 44%, draw 25%, Tigre Res. 31%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Tigre Res. to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.85, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento Res. 1–1 Tigre Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento Res.44%fair 2.26 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.80
Tigre Res.31%fair 3.21 · @3.50
2.24Expected goals
1.25Sarmiento Res. xG
0.99Tigre Res. xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sarmiento Res. 1.3 – 1.0 Tigre Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
On our numbers Sarmiento Res. have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tigre Res. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento Res. 1–1 Tigre Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res.?
Sarmiento Res. vs Tigre Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
