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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rosario Central Res. v Sarmiento Res.: numbers & prediction

Reserve League · Argentina
Rosario Central Res. 63%Draw 22%Sarmiento Res. 15% Expected goals 1.68 – 0.66
63%
Betarazi pick

Rosario Central Res. to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central Res. to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16

Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rosario Central Res. welcome Sarmiento Res. for a Reserve League fixture on Tuesday 27 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Rosario Central Res. are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento Res. are 15th (upper half) with 22. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Rosario Central Res., last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Argentinos Juniors Res., away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Sarmiento Res., last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tigre Res., at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Rosario Central Res., collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Sarmiento Res..

Head to head

When they last met (28 May 2026) it ended Sarmiento Res. 0–2 Rosario Central Res..

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rosario Central Res. 1.7 xG, Sarmiento Res. 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rosario Central Res. 63%, draw 22%, Sarmiento Res. 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rosario Central Res. or draw (85%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rosario Central Res. to win (63%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rosario Central Res.63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.25
Sarmiento Res.15%fair 6.60 · @4.40
2.34Expected goals
1.68Rosario Central Res. xG
0.66Sarmiento Res. xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Rosario Central Res. 1.7 – 0.7 Sarmiento Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central Res. to win ✗63%1.581.70 ▲
Double chanceRosario Central Res. or draw ✗85%1.181.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.80
Draw no betRosario Central Res. (draw no bet) ✗81%1.24–
Asian handicapRosario Central Res. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.71–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreRosario Central Res. to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central Res. / FT Rosario Central Res. ✗39%2.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.16–

Recent results

Rosario Central Res. – last 6

WDDWLW
20 Oct@ Argentinos Juniors Res.2–1W
14 Octvs Aldosivi Res.1–1D
6 Oct@ Gimnasia La Plata Res.2–2D
30 Sepvs Unión Santa Fe Res.2–0W
24 Sep@ Newell's Old Boys Res.0–3L
16 Sep@ Atlético Tucumán Res.1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sarmiento Res. – last 6

DDLLWL
20 Octvs Tigre Res.1–1D
15 Oct@ San Lorenzo Res.1–1D
8 Octvs Vélez Sársfield Res.0–1L
1 Oct@ River Plate Res.0–1L
23 Sepvs Atl. Rafaela 23–1W
15 Sepvs Racing Club Res.0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 May 2026Sarmiento Res. v Rosario Central Res.0–2
Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res. head-to-head page →

Reserve League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vélez Sársfield Res.201523+2947
2Boca Juniors Res.201235+2439
3Racing Club Res.211164+739
4River Plate Res.211146+937
5Independiente Res.191135+1936
6Lanús Res.191126+1335
7Newell's Old Boys Res.191045+934
8Quilmes 2181035+833
9Defensa y Justicia Res.18954+1432
10Atlético Tucumán Res.19937-230
11Unión Santa Fe Res.18783+429
12Estudiantes La Plata Res18846+928
13Argentinos Juniors Res.18774+628
14Belgrano Córdoba Res.18837-227
15Talleres Córdoba Res.18756+626
16Huracán Res.18756+626
17Rosario Central Res.18756+326
18Platense Res.18756-326
19Deportivo Riestra Res.18747+725
20Independiente Riva. Res.18738024
21Instituto Res.18594-124
22San Lorenzo Res.18666-224
23Gimnasia La Plata Res.18657+223
24Gimnasia Mendoza 218657-323
25Banfield Res.18657-423
26Ferro 218648-322
27Central Córdoba SdE Res.18549-1219
28Colón Res.185310-818
29Aldosivi Res.185310-1118
30Barracas Central Res.18459-1317
31Sarmiento Res.184410-1016
32Tigre Res.184410-1016
33Godoy Cruz Res.184311-1015
34Atl. Rafaela 2183312-1512
35Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2182511-2311
36San Martín San Juan Res.182214-438

More Reserve League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Our pick is Rosario Central Res. to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

On our numbers Rosario Central Res. have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarmiento Res. 15%.

How many goals will there be in Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Our predicted score is Rosario Central Res. 1–0 Sarmiento Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res.?

Rosario Central Res. vs Sarmiento Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 27 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.