Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Independiente Res. travel to face Newell's Old Boys Res. on Tuesday 3 November in the Reserve League – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Newell's Old Boys Res. are 19th, lower half, on 20 points after 16 matches; Independiente Res. are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Newell's Old Boys Res., last 5: DWDDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Atl. Rafaela 2, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Independiente Res., last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Defensa y Justicia Res., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Independiente Res., collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Newell's Old Boys Res..
Head to head
When they last met (2 Jun 2026) it ended Independiente Res. 1–0 Newell's Old Boys Res..
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newell's Old Boys Res. 1.3 xG, Independiente Res. 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newell's Old Boys Res. 39%, draw 23%, Independiente Res. 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Independiente Res.. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newell's Old Boys Res.39%fair 2.57 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.12
Independiente Res.38%fair 2.61 · @2.72
2.59Expected goals
1.30Newell's Old Boys Res. xG
1.29Independiente Res. xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Newell's Old Boys Res. 1.3 – 1.3 Independiente Res. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newell's Old Boys Res. to win✗
39%
2.57
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.78
Draw no bet
Newell's Old Boys Res. (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Independiente Res. +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.21
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Newell's Old Boys Res. to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newell's Old Boys Res. / FT Newell's Old Boys Res.✗
What is the prediction for Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?
On our numbers Newell's Old Boys Res. have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Independiente Res. 38%.
How many goals will there be in Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Our predicted score is Newell's Old Boys Res. 1–1 Independiente Res., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res.?
Newell's Old Boys Res. vs Independiente Res. (Reserve League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
