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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Masr v Al Ahly: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Egypt · Cairo International Stadium

Masr

DLDWD
0–2
FT

Al Ahly

WLWWW
Masr 14%Draw 22%Al Ahly 64% Expected goals 0.72 – 1.84
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Ahly to win ✓64% · @1.46
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Masr vs Al Ahly: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Masr welcome Al Ahly to Cairo International Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Friday 28 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Masr are 10th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Al Ahly are 2nd (among the top four) with 20.

Current form

Masr, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Wadi Degla, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Ahly, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Enppi, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Al Ahly, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Masr.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Masr 0.7 xG, Al Ahly 1.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Masr 14%, draw 22%, Al Ahly 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Masr 0–1 Al Ahly. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Masr14%fair 7.11 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
Al Ahly64%fair 1.56 · @1.46
2.57Expected goals
0.72Masr xG
1.84Al Ahly xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–08%

From our goals model: Masr 0.7 – 1.8 Al Ahly expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Ahly to win ✓64%1.561.46
Double chanceAl Ahly or draw ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.952.00
Draw no betAl Ahly (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapAl Ahly -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreAl Ahly to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultAl Ahly ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Ahly / FT Al Ahly ✓41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Masr – last 6

DLDWDD
21 Aug@ Wadi Degla0–0D
8 Junvs Wadi Degla0–2L
29 Mayvs Kahraba Ismailia1–1D
25 Mayvs AL Masry1–0W
21 May@ Wadi Degla2–2D
17 May@ Ismaily SC0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Al Ahly – last 6

WLWWWL
23 Augvs Enppi3–2W
19 Aug@ Barcelona1–2L
20 May@ AL Masry2–0W
5 Mayvs Enppi3–0W
1 May@ Zamalek SC3–0W
27 Apr@ Pyramids FC0–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Masr and Al Ahly.

Masr vs Al Ahly head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids FC8800+1524
2Al Ahly8620+920
3Zamalek SC8611+719
4Ceramica Cleopatra8602+718
5Al Ittihad8422+314
6Future FC8413+213
7El Mokawloon8323+311
8National Bank of Egypt8323011
9Smouha SC8323011
10Masr8323-111
11Petrojet8233-29
12AL Masry8233-29
13Olympic El Qanah8152-28
14El Geish8224-68
15Wadi Degla8143-27
16Enppi8215-57
17Ghazl El Mehalla8215-77
18Asyut Petrol8134-46
19Abu Qair Semad8116-94
20El Gouna FC8035-63

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Masr vs Al Ahly?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Masr vs Al Ahly?

On our numbers Masr have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Ahly 64%.

How many goals will there be in Masr vs Al Ahly?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Masr vs Al Ahly?

Our predicted score is Masr 0–1 Al Ahly, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Masr vs Al Ahly?

Masr vs Al Ahly (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.