El Geish 44%Draw 25%Masr 31%Expected goals 1.16 – 0.89
66%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Masr to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultEl Geish to win ✗44% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.72
El Geish vs Masr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Tuesday 1 September: El Geish v Masr in the Premier League, played at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium. In the table, El Geish are 14th, lower half, on 8 points after 8 matches; Masr are 10th (upper half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
El Geish, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Petrojet, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Masr, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Al Ahly, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours El Geish, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Masr.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Masr 1–0 El Geish. The last 2 head-to-heads: El Geish 0 wins, Masr 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 1.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give El Geish 1.2 xG, Masr 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – El Geish 44%, draw 25%, Masr 31%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Masr to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: El Geish 1–0 Masr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
El Geish44%fair 2.25 · @2.16
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.86
Masr31%fair 3.26 · @3.60
2.05Expected goals
1.16El Geish xG
0.89Masr xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: El Geish 1.2 – 0.9 Masr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win El Geish vs Masr?
On our numbers El Geish have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Masr 31%.
How many goals will there be in El Geish vs Masr?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Geish vs Masr?
Our predicted score is El Geish 1–0 Masr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is El Geish vs Masr?
El Geish vs Masr (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gehaz El Reyada El Askari Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
